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Recommended Reading

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Our focus is on successful investing methods that are verifiable and well documented. Also featured are books with original ideas. We welcome your recommendations for the reading list.  


How To Invest If You Can't Afford To Lose by Thomas Gleason (reviewed December 2007)
Perhaps the most useful book written for investors who can't afford to lose. If you need consistent and competitive yearly investment returns with low risk, then this is the book you've been waiting for. Easy to read and without any jargon, this book is a simple how-to for everyone. Stop paying investment advisors a percent of your assets and put that money into your own pocket. I recommend it very highly, as you'd expect!

The Single Best Investment by Lowell Miller (reviewed February 2008)
A how-to book on buying dividend paying stocks. Dividend stocks don't move in lockstep with the general indexes and provide higher returns over time than the market. Mr. Miller explains criteria to use to select stocks and is emphatic that investors shouldn't buy unless all the necessary facts and data are properly aligned. The writing style is a bit preachy, but the content is valuable and timeless. Dividend investing is the cure for hype - they can't fake a quarterly payout. A long history of increasing dividends and proper valuation are keys to profitable investing.

Unconventional Success: A Fundamental Approach to Personal Investment by David Swensen
The highly successful manager of Yale's endowment fund shows how and why to construct a portfolio using index funds for high risk-adjusted returns. Swenson states directly that actively managed mutual funds should be avoided due to high fees and conflict of interest. Written for the layman, this is the best book on passive investment strategies we've ever read.

Contrarian Investment Strategies  by David Dreman.
Outstanding text on value investing with documented back testing that shows what works over time. Read his column in Forbes.

Common Sense on Mutual Funds by John Bogle
If you're a fund investor you need to read this book. Lays out the logic for index fund investing and much more. Bogle's work at Vanguard has greatly benefited investors.

Deflation: How to Survive & Thrive in the Coming Wave of Deflation by A. Gary Shilling
This is a superb book on what America faces over the next twenty years. The author predicts deflation - not a disaster scenario. Thoroughly documented and well written, this book is a class act.  Deflation is the flip side of inflation so the old strategies won't work. Read Shilling's column on the Forbes web site for his current thinking.

Tomorrow's Gold by Marc Faber
Faber works out of Hong Kong and is well known for his knowledge of emerging markets. He makes a case for Asia's strong future in this book but the parts we find most interesting are his historical perspectives on the booms and busts of ideas, markets, and empires. Industries and nations generally have a short time in the sun. Also, the Federal Reserve can print money to stave off deflation but can't control where those dollars end up and this will cause speculations. 

All About Market Timing by Leslie Masonson
An unexpectedly excellent book on what market timing is all about - controlling risk. The author flatly states that buy and hold is for the naive. He goes on to discuss several timing methods that are quite credible. We are confident that many people would become better investors if they'd spend a weekend with this one.

Practical Speculation by Victor Niederhoffer and Laurel Kenner
A well paced volume discussing the author's hands-on experiences in the world of speculation. Many insights into a scientific approach to investing. He debunks popular but losing strategies and shows others that will work for a lifetime.

Stock Cycles: Why Stocks Won't Beat Money Markets over the Next Twenty Years   by Michael Alexander
An excellent work that analyzes the probability of stock returns over the coming years. In those parts the book is original and often brilliant.  We're doubters about economic "longwaves" and things like Kondratief cycles.

The Mind of Wall Street by Leon Levy
The autobiography of the former top guy at Oppenheimer and one of the richest people in America.  About today's markets (August 2002): 1. The bubble still has not burst fully and stocks are still hugely overvalued. The Naadaq will drop to 650 and other indexes will go back to early 1995 levels. 2. The coming recession will be the deepest since the Depression  3. The only thing that could hold up this economy would be a massive fiscal expenditure program on the level of WWII (hence, the StarWars missile program and wars about to start, we'd guess) 4. Devaluation of the dollar won't work as other countries will follow suit.  5. The savings rate in the US is 3% and will rise to the traditional 6-10%. Every 1% rise cuts corporate profits by 10%  6. Sell stocks on strength 

 

Off-Topic Favorites

As It Is: The Open Secret to Living an Awakened Life by Tony Parsons
A wonderful book on "presence" that could add purpose to anyone's existence.  If it rings your bell, it could change your life.

How to Be Invisible  by J.J. Luna
This is a fun book and will raise your awareness of how easily you and your assets can be tracked.  The author has made an art of privacy and anonymity. He discusses how to become untraceable by private investigators and other snoopy types. Some of this may be for the truly paranoid but it's good to know. I guarantee you, Mr. Luna would never sign up with www.donotcall.gov using his real email address since it would be trivial for the government to cross reference his phone number to his email account. With the Patriot Act sucking up every scrap of info on people maybe it's time to be more conscious of these matters.

Dilemmas of Dommination: The Unmaking of the American Empire by Walden Bello
A superb explanation of how American foreign policy and corporate goals are intertwined. Explains why the American Empire is destined to contract. America faces dangerous financial storms and constraints on global ambitions due to a rising Asia. This book is a first-rate analysis and a real eye opener.

Gematria / Revelation Web Site
The author of this fascinating site states that many passages in the christian gospels are actually written instructions for creating remarkable geometric diagrams. A book will soon be published deciphering the Book of Revelation. Many illustrations and explanations are provided on the site.

 

© 2007, Thomas Nogales Financial, LLC